'What is the interpretation of a residual against fitted values plot?
After performing a regression, you get the residuals and the fitted values for the dependent variable. Plotting them can yield insights over the violation of OLS-assumptions. I wonder If I correctly interpret this output as it seems that there is no proper explanation for it anywhere.
I heard you can draw following conclusions from this plot:
- distribution of the error (are the residuals i.i.d.?)
- homoskedasticity / heteroskedasticity
- autocorrelation between the residuals
- equality of the conditonal mean of u and the unconditional mean
- misspecification of the model
As an example I would like to present following plot which suggests a violation of an OLS-assumption.
Residuals against fitted values:
My interpretation:
the error term is not i.i.d., it depends on the size of the fitted values and thus on the explanatory variables
absence of homoskedasticity as the conditional variance is not equal to the unconditional variance
presence of autocorrelation
unconditional mean is not equal to conditional mean
model is wrongly specified, non-linear might be better
Solution 1:[1]
This could help a bit:
Here are the characteristics of a well-behaved residual vs. fits plot and what they suggest about the appropriateness of the simple linear regression model:
The residuals "bounce randomly" around the 0 line. This suggests that the assumption that the relationship is linear is reasonable.
The residuals roughly form a "horizontal band" around the 0 line.
This suggests that the variances of the error terms are equal.No one residual "stands out" from the basic random pattern of residuals. This suggests that there are no outliers.
Regards.
FJ
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Solution 1 | user18854918 |